Middling and Arbitrage: Practical Windows and Pitfalls

Bettors chase two types of low-risk setups: middles and arbitrage. Both exploit price differences, but they carry distinct windows and traps. Knowing when they’re worth the stake—and when friction wipes the edge—is key. Arbitrage: locking guaranteed returns Arbitrage (or “arbing”) means backing all outcomes at odds that guarantee a profit. Example: Book A posts +110… Continue reading Middling and Arbitrage: Practical Windows and Pitfalls

Market Timing: When to Bet Openers vs Closers

Openers are the first public prices; closers are the market’s final consensus. Between them, limits rise, information lands, and models converge. Early numbers reflect uncertainty and soft books; late numbers reflect sharper money and thicker liquidity. You’re trading time for price. At open, you can grab mistakes—but you’ll face tiny limits and sudden moves. Near… Continue reading Market Timing: When to Bet Openers vs Closers